Survivor record holders
Largest Performance Below Expected (PBE)
By: Jeff Pitman | Last updated: May 21, 2020

Largest PBE (performance below expected) - Adam Klein, Millennials vs. Gen X

 

Ken McNickle

S33: Millennials vs. Gen X

-55.6%

 

See also:

PAE - Performance Above Expected

PBE (performance below expected) - highest scores
Rank Contestant Season PBE NoJ SNoJ JVF ExJ
1 Ken McNickle, Millennials vs Gen X Ken McNickle Millennials vs Gen X -55.6% 8.75 15.73 0 5.6
2 Woo Hwang, Cagayan Woo Hwang Cagayan -44.2% 6.69 12.08 1 5.0
3 Natalie Tenerelli, Redemption Island Natalie Tenerelli Redemption Island -42.8% 6.81 15.91 0 3.9
4 Stephen Fishbach, Tocantins Stephen Fishbach Tocantins -42.5% 8.20 19.30 0 3.0
5 Mike Skupin, S2, S25 Mike Skupin Philippines -37.7% 9.30 18.52 1 4.0
6 Dreamz Herd, Fiji 'Dreamz' Herd Fiji -37.2% 6.52 17.52 0 3.3
7 Spencer Bledsoe, Cambodia Spencer Bledsoe Cambodia -36.3% 5.15 14.19 0 3.6
8 Sugar Kiper, Gabon Sugar Kiper Gabon -35.1% 7.69 21.87 0 2.5
9 Amanda Kimmel, Micronesia Amanda Kimmel China -35.1% 11.27 22.83 1 3.5
10 Matthew von Ertfelda, S6 Matthew von Ertfelda The Amazon -33.1% 7.19 15.18 1 3.3
11 Russell Hantz, Heroes vs. Villains Russell Hantz Heroes vs. Villains -32.4% 5.53 17.05 0 2.9
12 Julie Rosenberg, EoE Julie Rosenberg Edge of Extinction -31.9% 6.11 19.14 0 4.2
13 Laurel Johnson, Ghost Island Laurel Johnson Ghost Island -31.7% 6.69 21.10 0 3.5
14 Noura Salman, IotI Noura Salman Island of the Idols -31.7% 5.53 17.45 0 3.2
15 Stephenie LaGrossa, Guatemala Stephenie LaGrossa Guatemala -30.6% 6.54 14.55 1 3.1
16 Mick Trimming, Samoa Mick Trimming Samoa -30.4% 4.42 14.51 0 2.7
17 Albert Destrade, South Pacific Albert Destrade South Pacific -29.9% 6.28 21.01 0 2.7
18 Chelsea Meissner, One World Chelsea Meissner One World -29.3% 6.20 21.16 0 2.6
19 Tai Trang, Kaoh Rong Tai Trang Kaoh Rong -29.1% 5.05 17.37 0 2.0
20 Dawn Meehan, Caramoan Dawn Meehan Caramoan -29.1% 5.15 17.71 0 2.3
21 Sash Lenahan, Nicaragua 'Sash' Lenahan Nicaragua -27.9% 6.84 24.49 0 2.5
22 Cassandra Franklin, Fiji Cassandra Franklin Fiji -27.6% 4.84 17.52 0 2.5
23 Gervase Peterson, S27 Gervase Peterson Blood vs. Water -27.6% 5.09 18.45 0 2.2
24 Boston Rob Mariano, All-Stars Boston Rob Mariano All-Stars -26.2% 12.67 18.34 3 4.8
25 Kelly Wiglesworth, Borneo Kelly Wiglesworth Borneo -25.8% 9.69 14.10 3 4.8
26 Michele Fitzgerald, Winners at War Michele Fitzgerald Winners at War -25.4% 4.53 17.80 0 4.1
27 Danielle DiLorenzo, Panama-Exile Island Danielle DiLorenzo Panama -25.2% 5.76 10.71 2 3.8
28 Amanda Kimmel, Micronesia Amanda Kimmel Micronesia -24.7% 9.35 15.03 3 5.0
29 Becky Lee, Cook Islands Becky Lee Cook Islands -23.4% 5.28 22.52 0 2.1
30 Monica Culpepper, Blood vs. Water Monica Culpepper Blood vs. Water -23.4% 6.63 18.45 1 2.9
31 Russell Hantz, Samoa Russell Hantz Samoa -23.4% 6.62 14.51 2 4.1

Complete through Winners at War. Click contestant name/picture to view their contestant page.

What is PBE?

PBE is pretty much just the bottom half of the PAE chart for finalists. But since it represents the people who underperformed before the jury, we broke it off into a separate table (and listed the scores from the largest underperformance on down to the smallest). In seasons 1-29 there were 32 overperformers (positive PAE score) and 40 underperformers (negative PAE). We've listed only the "bottom" 25 here. Sorry, other 15 barely underperformers (including Brian Heidik, S20 Parvati Shallow, S2 Colby Donaldson, and S13 Ozzy Lusth).

 

Again, PAE uses the "No jury" score (ChW + wTCR). First, we calculate "expected" jury score (ExJ), which is the number of jurors (TotJ) times the ratio of the player's No jury score (NoJ) divided by the sum of all the NoJ scores of the finalists (SNoJ). Basically, in a jury of the size the player saw, they should receive ExJ votes. ExJ = TotJ * [NoJ/(SNoJ)].

Then, PAE is simply the actual number of votes received (JVF), minus ExJ, then divided by the number of jurors, or:

PAE = (JVF - ExJ)/ TotJ. (PBE is just the subset of PAE scores that are below zero.)

 

So these are the 28 worst PAE scores. Our condolences to all those listed. There are many, many reasons you could end up here: (1) You actively antagonized the jurors, daring them not to vote for you; (2) you did fine, the jury just really, really liked one or more of your opponents better; (3) you rode coattails the entire way, and nobody voted for you; or (4) the most popular excuse... bitter jurors. Feel free to choose whichever or as many as you see fit.