Survivor: Blood vs. Water boxcoscores
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Survivor: Blood vs. Water boxscores - Episode 12
"Rustle Feathers"
By: Jeff Pitman | Published: September 19, 2013

Filmed: June 19-21, 2013 |  Aired: December 4, 2013
Laura M wins, Caleb out
Gervase wins!
Katie gets rocked

 

  • Redemption Island duel: "House of Cards" - Laura M. wins easily, Tina sits in second place.
  • Redemption Island eliminated person: Caleb, whose stack collapses as the arbitrary 30-minute time limit elapses.
  • Idol hands: Using the clue Laura M. gave to Ciera, Tyson finds the idol again, mere hours after playing it.
  • Immunity challenge: "Ram-Ball On" - Gervase wins! Barely, over Monica.
  • Voted out: Hayden and Monica deadlock in a 3-3 tie, forcing Katie, Ciera, and Tyson to draw rocks. Katie (picking first) draws the fateful white rock, and is sent to Redemption Island.

 

Episode 12 scoring notes

Notes:

Oh, the no-longer-purple rock. When this happened to Paschal in Marquesas, we threw up our hands at trying to figure out a way to adjust Paschal's score to reflect his leaving the game without having any votes cast against him. Since then, we haven't had any major brainstorms, so we'll score Katie's the same way: not doing anything out of the ordinary. Everyone gets punished for this, because everyone attended Tribal Council, but nobody voted for the person who was booted. Just that Katie gets punished slightly more, by being sent to Redemption Island. But it balances out, since her score is artificially inflated, due to not being "voted" out.

 

Vote count

- Monica received 3 votes, from Ciera, Hayden, and Katie.

- Hayden received 3 votes, from Tyson, Monica, and Gervase.

(Rock draw: Tyson, Ciera, and Katie pick rocks, with Gervase immune and Hayden/Monica ineligible due to the deadlocked tie. Katie out, after drawing the white rock.)

Episode 12 boxscore, part 1
Redemption duel Immunity Challenge
Contestant ChW ChA Plc %Fin MPF ChW ChA Plc %Fin MPF
Monica - - - - - 0 1 2 0.83 0.67
Katie - - - - - 0 1 t-4 0.25 0.52
Gervase - - - - - 1 1 1 1.00 0.59
Tyson - - - - - 0 1 3 0.67 0.58
Hayden - - - - - 0 1 t-4 0.25 0.56
Ciera - - - - - 0 1 t-4 0.25 0.35
Caleb 0 0.50 3 0.33 0.33 - - - - -
Laura M. 0.50 0.50 1 1.00 0.93 - - - - -
Tina 0.25 0.50 2 0.67 0.67 - - - - -
Episode 12 boxscore, part 2
Tribal Council stats
Contestant VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Monica 0 3 6 1 1.37 6.55
Katie 0 - 6 1 0.70 3.08
Gervase 0 - 6 1 1.14 6.81
Tyson 0 - 6 1 0.87 4.41
Hayden 0 3 6 1 0.80 3.48
Ciera 0 - 6 1 0.77 1.82
Caleb - - - - 0.98 3.72
Laura M. - - - - 0.97 3.61
Tina - - - - 0.88 2.95
Vytas - - - - 1.06 3.03
Aras - - - - 0.60 1.76
Laura B. - - - - 0.66 1.48
John - - - - 1.21 3.50
Kat - - - - 0.78 2.33
Brad - - - - 0.94 3.05
Candice - - - - 0.03 1.25
Marissa - - - - 0.05 0.50
Rachel - - - - 0.27 1.04
Colton - - - - 1.26 1.31
Rupert - - - - 0.00 0.00
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
    • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
    • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
    • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

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