Episode 3: "The Brave May Not Live
Long, But the Cautious Don't Live At All"
Survivor:
Guatemala boxscores Episode
3
Filmed: July 3-4, 2005 | Aired:
September 29, 2005
- Ep3 Reward challenge: "Blind Build" - Gary's directions give Yaxhá a big lead, which they promptly fritter away not building their tent. Nakúm wins comfort items.
- Ep3 Immunity challenge: "Holding Court" - It's tied 3-3, until Danni scores two straight points; Nakúm wins.
- Voted out: Brianna, 7-1 over Lydia.
Episode 3 scoring notes
- As we mentioned on twitter, it's nuts that, 30 seasons into Survivor, the show has yet to figure out that they incur a huge number of serious injuries having people run and/or jump on nets (Amy here, Kourtney in One World, Missy in San Juan del Sur). Particularly as set up here, where the net was draped over a hard wooden skeleton, forcing people to transition from loose to hard footing repeatedly. It's bizarre that nobody thought that might be a potentially ankle-popping arrangement during Dreamteam testing. But even so, Amy still performed better than Brianna.
- Also, with Yaxhá utterly demoralized and Amy injured, one wonders if this pushed production into accelerating the swap, moving it up an episode ahead of the original plans. It makes no sense to swap if it creates uneven tribes, but that's what they do the next episode, instead of waiting until Episode 5, as is commonly done today. Certainly, had no swap occurred, there was a high probability of two more straight Yaxhá losses, and probably an Amy boot. If an early swap is what it took to avoid that, we're okay with it.
- One more thing ... for a guy who keeps going on and on about prizing athletic ability above all else, and not wanting to lose any more challenges, it's hilarious that Gary (1) insists "I'm a landscaper," and (2) has been demonstrably terrible in the physical challenges. Seriously: he directly gave Judd and Nakúm a point in the mud IC, by idiotically tackling Judd to ensure the rope was closest to Nakúm's end; and scored zero points in the Ball Game IC here, despite being a foot taller than everyone else. Even Rafe scored a point. Rafe! But hey, Gary did do well in the RC here, where he was yelling and telling people what to do.
Vote count:
- Brianna received 7 votes, from Stephenie, Rafe, Lydia, Gary, Jamie, Amy, and Brian (voted out, 7-1).
- Lydia received 1 vote, from Brianna.
| Reward Challenge | Immunity Challenge | Tribal council stats | Overall scores | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | ChW | ChA | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Blake | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | - | - | - | - | 1.85 | 7.61 |
| Bobby Jon | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | - | - | - | - | 1.85 | 7.61 |
| Brandon | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | - | - | - | - | 1.85 | 7.61 |
| Brooke | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | - | - | - | - | 1.85 | 7.61 |
| Cindy | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | - | - | - | - | 1.85 | 7.61 |
| Danni | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | - | - | - | - | 1.85 | 7.61 |
| Judd | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | - | - | - | - | 1.85 | 7.61 |
| Margaret | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | - | - | - | - | 1.74 | 6.21 |
| Amy | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.15 | 7.11 |
| Brian | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.15 | 7.11 |
| Gary | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.15 | 7.11 |
| Jamie | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.15 | 7.11 |
| Rafe | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.15 | 7.11 |
| Stephenie | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.15 | 7.11 |
| Lydia | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1.10 | 4.78 |
| Brianna | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0.45 | 1.38 |
| Morgan | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.65 | 0.11 |
| Jim | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.39 | 0.11 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.
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