Survivor 10: Palau boxscores
Episode 4: "Sumo at Sea"
By Jeff Pitman | Published: March 27, 2021
Survivor: Palau  boxscores Episode 4

Filmed: November 9-11, 2004 |  Aired: March 10, 2005
Koror wins RC
Koror wins IC
Kim out, 5-1

 

  • Ep.4 Reward challenge: "Build a Better Bathroom" - Production finds a questionable way to give Koror a reward challenge win, and shower them in free booze in the process.
  • Ep.4 Immunity challenge: "Sumo at Sea" - So. Close. Ulong fights all the way back to a match-point tie, only for Redneck James to blow it for them. Why wasn't Bobby Jon allowed to swap in?
  • Ep.4 voted out: Kim, 5-1 over James.
Episode 4 scoring notes

Ulong: Beaten by a bunch of rules? Not sure when this change occurred, but in later seasons, the matchups in "Sumo at Sea" have been more flexible/fluid, at least after everyone competes once. So Bobby Jon or Ibrehem could have seized the advantage by swapping out for James in the final bout. (Koror probably would have responded by putting Tom in, so maybe it's a push.)

Alternatively, Samatau cracked the strategy in this challenge in SurvivorAU (2017): Ulong's best move was to put James up against Tom in the first place, take the automatic L, then try to work the more favorable margins on the Ibrehem/Gregg and Bobby Jon/Coby bouts (or vice-versa, probably, with Bobby Jon facing Gregg and Ibrehem vs. Coby). Obviously, this came 12 years later, and Palau's iteration was the first one, so hindsight is 20/20.

Vote count:
  • Kim received 5 votes, from Angie, Bobby Jon, Ibrehem, James, and Stephenie (voted out, 5-1).
  • James received 1 vote, from Kim.
Episode 4 boxscore

Reward challenge stats Immunity challenge stats Tribal council stats

Contestant ChW ChA SO ChW ChA SO VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Stephenie 0.00 0.17 - 0.00 0.17 - 1 - 6 1 1.14 7.27
Angie 0.00 0.17 - 0.00 0.17 - 1 - 6 1 1.11 4.27
James 0.00 0.17 - 0.00 0.17 - 1 1 6 1 0.87 3.77
Bobby Jon 0.00 0.17 - 0.00 0.17 - 1 - 6 1 0.64 3.77
Ibrehem 0.00 0.17 - 0.00 0.17 - 1 - 6 1 0.64 3.77
Kim 0.00 0.17 - 0.00 0.17 - 0 5 6 1 0.82 2.02
Caryn 0.17 0.17 - 0.17 0.17 - - - - - N/A N/A
Coby - 0.17 1 0.17 0.17 - - - - - N/A N/A
Gregg 0.17 0.17 - 0.17 0.17 - - - - - N/A N/A
Ian 0.17 0.17 - - 0.17 1 - - - - N/A N/A
Janu - 0.17 1 0.17 0.17 - - - - - N/A N/A
Jenn - 0.17 1 0.17 0.17 - - - - - N/A N/A
Katie 0.17 0.17 - - 0.17 1 - - - - N/A N/A
Tom 0.17 0.17 - 0.17 0.17 - - - - - N/A N/A
Willard 0.17 0.17 - - 0.17 1 - - - - N/A N/A
Jeff - - - - - - - - - - 0.76 2.34
Ashlee - - - - - - - - - - 0.42 1.53
Jolanda - - - - - - - - - - 0.23 1.00
Wanda - - - - - - - - - - 0.00 N/A
Jonathan - - - - - - - - - - 0.00 N/A
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

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