Episode 10: "My Enemies Are Plottin'"
Survivor 48 Episode 10 boxscore
Filmed: July 11-12, 2024 | Aired:
April 30, 2025
- Ep.10 RC: "Union of the Snake" - It's surprisingly close, at least between Kyle and Joe. Kyle lands his third ring seconds before Joe, nobody else is close, but Kyle wins. He picks Eva, Kamilla, and Shauhin to join him.
- Ep.10 reward: It's fried chicken and waffles, at some remote beach, which looks exactly like every other beach reward and/or the Sanctuary.
- Ep.10 IC: "A Bit Tipsy" - Eighteen hours later, Joe wins.
- Ep.10 Tribal: After all the revolution talk, it's just a simple majority vote, and Star is out, 5-3 over Mary.
Episode 10 scoring notes
- Challenge placement: In the RC, even just as the only person with two rings landed, Joe was clearly second (by seconds). Kamilla was still moving her buoy through the rope obstacle, so she's last. Everyone else in between are a bit murky, though. Eva was shown landing one ring early, but Mitch appears to have also landed one just as Kyle placed #3 (he was running back to untie another one as Kyle won). Did anyone else also land a ring that wasn't shown? Who knows? But to the extent we can tell, only Eva and Mitch had landed one (so they tied for third), outside of the top two.
- In the IC, as always with "A Bit Tipsy" (except last season, when Kyle Ostwald was a step or two away from winning), you can't assume progress made won't be lost, so everyone other than Joe tied for second place.
Vote count:
- Star received 5 votes, from Eva, Joe, Kyle, Mary, and Shauhin (voted out, 5-3).
- Mary received 3 votes, from Kamilla, Mitch, and Star.
| Reward challenge | Immunity challenge | Overall score | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | ChW | ChA | Plc | % Fin | ChW | ChA | Plc | % Fin | MPF |
| Joe | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.88 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 82.5% |
| Kyle | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 | t-2 | 0.50 | 82.2% |
| Eva | 0 | 1 | t-3 | 0.69 | 0 | 1 | t-2 | 0.50 | 71.5% |
| Mitch | 0 | 1 | t-3 | 0.69 | 0 | 1 | t-2 | 0.50 | 57.5% |
| Shauhin | 0 | 1 | t-5 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | t-2 | 0.50 | 55.2% |
| Mary | 0 | 1 | t-5 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | t-2 | 0.50 | 46.3% |
| Star | 0 | 1 | t-5 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | t-2 | 0.50 | 40.2% |
| Kamilla | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | t-2 | 0.50 | 31.5% |
| Tribal council stats | Overall scores | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contestant | VFB | VAP | TotV | TCA | SurvSc | SurvAv |
| Joe | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.44 | 10.14 |
| Kyle | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.40 | 9.83 |
| Eva | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 1.12 | 7.86 |
| Kamilla | 0 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.94 | 6.58 |
| Shauhin | 1 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.83 | 4.17 |
| Mary | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0.72 | 3.53 |
| Star | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0.64 | 2.76 |
| Mitch | 0 | - | 8 | 1 | 0.57 | 2.51 |
| David | - | - | - | - | 0.89 | 4.05 |
| Chrissy | - | - | - | - | 0.84 | 2.29 |
| Cedrek | - | - | - | - | 0.67 | 1.97 |
| Sai | - | - | - | - | 0.36 | 0.80 |
| Charity | - | - | - | - | -0.17 | 0.61 |
| Bianca | - | - | - | - | -0.14 | 0.53 |
| Thomas | - | - | - | - | 0.19 | 0.68 |
| Justin | - | - | - | - | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| Kevin | - | - | - | - | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Stephanie | - | - | - | - | -0.80 | 0.00 |
Glossary of terms
- Challenge
stats
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
- ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
- ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
- Tribal
Council stats
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
- VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
- Jury
stats
- JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Overall
scores
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.