Episode 13: "One Thing Left to Do
Filmed: May 8-10, 2021 |
Aired: December 15, 2021
- Ep.13 advantage: It's a scavenger
hunt. Erika finds it. She gets a challenge advantage.
- Ep.13 Final 5 Immunity Challenge:
"Born to Rung" - Erika's advantage gives her a
headstart, and she eventually wins.
- Ep.13 F5 voted out: Ricard, 4-1 over
Deshawn, as Xander finally plays his idol, pointlessly
- Ep.13 Final 4 Immunity Challenge:
"Let There Be Rock" - As has happened all three times
this challenge has been run, a young, super-athletic guy
wins. This time, Xander.
- Ep.13 F4 firemaking: Deshawn ou- ...
no, it's Heather, in a split-second decision.
- Ep.13 jury vote: Erika wins! 7-1-0
over Deshawn and Xander, respectively.
Episode 13 scoring notes
- F5 IC: We scored it as Probst called it: Erika
first (obviously), with Ricard second, and Heather last
(leaving Deshawn and Xander tied for third). Erika's
advantage really appeared to help. Had she not had it,
though, Ricard never noticed his missing puzzle piece,
so who knows who wins in the non-advantage universe. In
the F4 IC, everyone not named Xander tied for second.
Final 5 vote count:
- Ricard received 4 votes, from
Deshawn, Erika, Heather, and Xander* (voted out, 4-1).
- Deshawn received 1 vote, from Ricard.
- *Xander played his idol for himself, to no effect.
Final 4 firemaking:
- Deshawn wins, barely.
- Heather loses, is eliminated (8th
Jury vote count:
- Erika received 7 votes, from Tiffany,
Evvie, Naseer, Shan, Liana, Ricard, and Heather (winner,
- Deshawn received 1 vote, from Danny.
- Xander received 0 votes.
Glossary of terms
- ChW: Challenge Wins. For
tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of
1 win, depending on if they participated (no points
for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win,
each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2
points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at
Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and
half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a
- ChA: Challenge Appearances.
Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal
challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get
charged for an appearance, because they could have
- ChW%: Challenge Win%.
Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
- SO: The number of times a
contestant sat out of a challenge.
- VFB: Votes For Bootee. The
number of times the contestant has voted for the
person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to
initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a
tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only
one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that
- VAP: Votes Against the
Player. The total number of tribal council votes
cast against the contestant. Again, only initial
votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a
hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes.
In the special case of a final three tribal council
above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
- TotV: Total votes cast
during the tribal councils the player has attended
(again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust
for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
- TCA: Tribal council
appearances. The number of times a contestant has
attended tribal council (at which they voted).
- TC%: Tribal Council percent.
Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which
players controlling the vote almost always do),
while punishing receiving votes yourself. The
formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
- wTCR: weighted Tribal
Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but
calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also
scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The
formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x
(14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid
dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting
zero votes against relative to just one vote
against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that
effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling
factor for TC appearances because there are usually
14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to
bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and
JV% high scores.
- JVF: Number of jury votes
for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl
Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
- TotJ: Total number of
jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror
winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
- JV%: The percent of total
jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/
TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is
scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it
similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
- Survival Score (SurvSc). It's
simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal
Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible
score of 2 (3 after the finale).
- Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a
simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW),
weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a
weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points
total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18