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True Dork Times Survivor 18: Tocantins spoilers
Episode 5: "You're Going to Want That Tooth" Filmed: Nov. 14-16, 2008
Airdate: March 12, 2009
Episode 5: Summary | RC | Exile | IC | Boot
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Survivor: Tocantins episode 5 detailed boot spoilers/ speculation
the frog of doom croaks for thee, jalapao   Not much to go on at this point. Probst happily mentions Coach, Sierra, Stephen, Debbie, Tyson, Taj and Spencer as key characters this season (here and here), so we'd guess they're not on the chopping block this early.

   With Sandy's boot in Ep4, we'll return to our reaction shot theories of editing: after Jalapão's loss in the Ep1 IC, the camera showed Carolina (booted, Ep1), Joe (still here) and Sandy (booted, Ep4). After they lost again in Ep4, the camera showed Sandy again, Joe again, and Sydney. We'd guess the next two to go are Joe and Sydney, which fits with their omission from Probst's list of stars (above) and Carolina's list of dear friends. [As a long-term aside, the Ep4 IC arrival shot sequence was interesting: Taj watched as Erinn, Debbie and Coach each got headshots: first three targets of Taj's alliance, or final three?]. Note that it also fits the available press photos evidence, such as it is (see the IC discussion).

sad sydney     Of Sydney and Joe, who is more at risk? In the post-Ep4 preview, Joe is shown muttering that Taj's behavior will get her booted (not if she finds the hidden idol and plays it against him), and Taj gave him a throwaway vote in Ep4. Sydney was considered for the Ep4 boot, but her looks were deemed too indispensible for camp morale. Tough choice, but we're leaning Joe for now. Although the 10-second weekend ad does have a nice shot of a sad-looking Sydney. Hmmm.

Update: Spencer is also a possibility, based on the full Ep5 preview, in which he comes out (at least in confessional). tullfan2 at MeSS makes a fairly convincing case for why it could be Spencer as soon as this week. We're not so sure, but it's plausible.

So basically, while we're confident that the red tribe will be repeat visitors to Tribal Council this week, we have no solid idea who they'll boot. Sydney is probably the easiest to boot (especially in light of the "men vs. women" sports promo script). But Joe could also go if Taj uses the hidden idol against him. It would be amusing if both sets of San Diego contestants that Erika Shay recruited from local bars got removed from TAR and Survivor in the same airing week. But nah, we'll pick Joe.


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