Survivor: Tocantins boxscores
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Survivor: Tocantins boxscores - Episode 4
"The Strongest Man Alive"
By Jeff Pitman | Published: June 18, 2015

Filmed: November 11-13, 2008 |  Aired: March 5, 2009 | Re-watched: June 18, 2015
  • Ep4 Reward challenge: "Shoulder the Load" - Jalapao wins a camp raid of Timbira (by JT and Joe).
  • Ep4 Exile: Sierra, who picks Taj to join her. Sierra finally learns about the cross-tribal alliance.
  • Ep4 Immunity challenge: "Try Any Angle" - Timbira wins!
  • Ep4 voted out: Sandy, 5-1-1 over Sydney and Joe.

 

Jalapao wins RC
Timbira wins IC
Sandy out, 5-1-1
Episode 4 scoring notes

Notes: This episode featured unnecessary sit-outs in the reward challenge, which makes you wonder whether production had to move up a challenge originally intended for a later episode because the one intended for six people wasn't ready? Either that, or they just didn't plan one for some reason. Whatever the case, a bit odd, and it costs Stephen and Spencer 0.20 ChW for sitting out. Importantly, however, there is an...

 

Official scoring change: For reasons unknown, we originally scored the RC as a 3-person challenge, with only JT, Taj, and Joe winning. Clearly, though, the loaders participated (not the least in deciding how to allocate the weight on the opposing tribe), and the challenge was obviously for five people. So Sandy and Sydney get a 0.20 ChW they previously didn't have, and JT, Joe, and Taj all drop from a 0.33 ChW to a 0.20 ChW. This is why we re-watch these things.

 

And in retrospect, the scene of Taj and Sierra discussing their cross-tribal alliance while building a fire on Exile, then walking out of frame and celebrating the success of their alliance... while leaving their fire there, completely unlit? Perfection. Hilarious in its symbolic irony, but definitely not something you would catch on the first watch.

 

With respect to Sandy, one of the disappointing aspects of Tocantins is the near-complete lack of age diversity in the cast. Timbira started out with only three people over 31, Jalapao with two! In both cases, two of those people were in their mid-30s (Coach and Taj, both 37), and the oldest person on each tribe (Jerry, Sandy) was pretty clearly cast as cannon fodder. That means beyond this episode, there are as many people older than 37 left on the show (Debbie, 46) as there are people who are under 21 (Spencer, 18). And all but one of the people left are white. Luckily, there are some standout characters in that group, because otherwise this season might as well have been Nicaragua, with just the La Flor tribe.

 

Vote count:

- Sandy received 5 votes, from JT, Stephen, Joe, Sydney, and Spencer (voted out, 5-1-1).

- Sydney received 1 vote, from Sandy.

- Joe received 1 vote, from Taj (completely unexplained).

Episode 4 boxscore
Reward Challenge Immunity Challenge Tribal council stats
Contestant ChW ChA SO ChW ChA VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Brendan 0.00 0.20 - 0.17 0.17 - - - - 1.32 7.29
Coach 0.00 0.20 - 0.17 0.17 - - - - 1.32 7.29
Debbie 0.00 0.20 - 0.17 0.17 - - - - 1.32 7.29
Erinn 0.00 0.20 - 0.17 0.17 - - - - 1.28 5.89
Sierra - 0.20 1 0.17 0.17 - - - - 1.28 5.89
Tyson 0.00 0.20 - 0.17 0.17 - - - - 1.32 7.29
J.T. 0.20 0.20 - 0.00 0.17 1 - 7 1 1.68 7.63
Joe 0.20 0.20 - 0.00 0.17 1 1 7 1 1.65 6.23
Sandy 0.20 0.20 - 0.00 0.17 0 5 7 1 0.98 2.03
Spencer - 0.20 1 0.00 0.17 1 - 7 1 1.47 7.43
Stephen - 0.20 1 0.00 0.17 1 - 7 1 1.47 7.43
Sydney 0.20 0.20 - 0.00 0.17 1 1 7 1 1.65 6.23
Taj 0.20 0.20 - - 0.17 0 - 7 1 1.18 4.13
Jerry - - - - - - - - - 0.53 1.53
Candace - - - - - - - - - -0.41 0.13
Carolina - - - - - - - - - -0.88 0.00
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
    • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
    • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
    • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.

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