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| Survivor:
Samoa episode 4 detailed boot spoilers/ speculation |
 Everything
this episode, from the title (although the hungry tribe appears
to actually be Galu, not Foa Foa as you'd think) to the preponderance
of Galu coverage in the ads, seems to point to Galu finally visiting
tribal council this week. (With our luck, it'll solely be because
of a lame double-boot episode, or something).
Most at risk, based on the same editing pattern
we used (poorly) in Ep2,
which predicted Liz or Mike would be the next people out of Foa
Foa, would appear to be John, Yasmin and Russell S., who were
all shown reacting (favorably) to Galu's immunity win in Ep3.
Of
these three, Russell S. is an obvious choice. True, Galu will
have won four straight challenges under his leadership after
their RC win, but Erik and Dave both voiced (private) doubts
about Russ's decision not to take a tarp in Ep3, and as outfrontgirl at
Blows has documented, there's a massive downpour coming on
the second day of this episode. Still, he is the chief, and it's
not a job he volunteered for, so he might get a pass this
first time. Give them a few more days to soak, however, and the
tide may turn.
The CBS press
release may suggest more trouble
for Yasmin, saying "A hungry tribe turns against the castaway
who holds the secret to game-changing clues." True, this could
also be Shambo, although Erik is shown helping her in the idol
search at Galu camp, which doesn't seem like "turning against"
all that much. Another bad omen for Yasmin, as tullfan2 points
out at Sucks, is that Ben claims to have made up with her, suggesting
some Ponderosa bonding (as with Betsy and Ben).
Finally, there's overthinking, wind-direction
lecturing, non-Olympic-caliber swimming John. He hasn't been
seen much since the first episode, apart from doing well in both
subsequent RC/ICs. So probably not this week's boot.
We'd guess Shambo will be the decoy boot, based
on her continuing storyline as the outsider underdog at Galu,
and that the actual boot will be either Russell S. or Yasmin. Leaning
Yasmin.
Update: missyae claims
(as a spoiler) that Yasmin leaves this week, and that the only
other Galu to leave pre-merge is Russell S., due to injury.
As we note in detail here,
missyae has also posted a detailed list of the remaining pre-merge
boots that is logically impossible. So take his "spoiler" here
with as many grains of salt as you need to wash it down. In
other news,
Entertainment
Weekly has made clear that the injury event (collapsing
due to dehydration) occurs in Ep6,
during the "Roll With It" challenge. If it is Russell S. that
leaves, that
makes him safe this week, as predicted above.
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