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| Survivor:
Samoa episode 2 detailed boot spoilers/ speculation |
 As
with Ep1, there are CBS-provided shots of an Ep3 challenge,
in which Ashley, Monica and Kelly are visible. So those people
should all be safe in Ep2.
Complete re-do
update: We previously
assumed Galu was headed to Tribal because Yasmin was at Foa Foa
camp, but the shot of Shannon with the reward equipment - at
right - trumps that, thanks to VolcanicGlass.
So, moving on: Who at Foa Foa is most at risk?
Ashley (see above) and Russell H. (the show's all about him so
far, and he's on S20) both appear to be safe. From Probst's comments,
so do Jaison and Ben, who appear to stick around a while. That
leaves pretty much everyone else. Most at risk based on Ep1 would
appear to be Natalie and Betsy, possibly Mike, maybe Liz.
- Natalie: Russell's
stated plan with his "dumb-ass girl alliance" was to make secret
F2 alliances with Ashley, Natalie and Marisa, which he would
apparently break as soon as anyone starts to waver (Marisa).
Since Ashley's safe and Marisa is gone, that leaves Natalie,
who was last seen being warned by Betsy not to trust Russell.
Which is what got Marisa booted. So Natalie is a possibility
to follow in Marisa's footsteps.
- Betsy: Did not vote with the tribe on the
Marisa boot, which is not a good move. While it's too soon to
assess how she does in physical challenges, there's no hiding
she's the oldest woman on the tribe. If culling the "weak" remains
the mantra, she could go.
- Mike: Editing tricks aside, seemed more convinced
than anyone else on his tribe (or Jeff
Probst) that he was not
a physical liability.
On the other hand, even though they were voting out the weak
in Ep1, received not a single vote. Although Mike seemed to think
Marisa started a "plot against
me," and Mick and Natalie both apparently promised not to
vote for him.
- Liz: Pre-Ep1 airing interview is
the only reason to doubt her longevity. She seems to be reasonably
integrated into the tribe, even high-fiving Ben in the PIP promo,
despite not having an "alliance" with Russell that was named
in Ep1. Update: But we think those appearances can be deceiving.
Final call, pre-Ep2: You could make
a plausible case for either Liz or Natalie (or Mike). Natalie
is either doomed by her inklings of doubt in Ep1, or is being
groomed to join Mick and Betsy's anti-Russell/Ben alliance. Liz,
on the other hand, didn't really factor into the Russell storyline
at all, but she was highlighted in the Ep1 IC losing shot, following
Probst's dismissal (see below).
So we'll go with Liz
as the Ep2 bootee. (And we'd predict
Mike would be the next person to leave Foa Foa). We don't really
see a reason to highlight both Liz and Mike after the Ep1 IC
(along with Marisa), since neither received a vote at the Ep1
tribal council. Mike did appear to be in danger of getting votes,
but apparently worked his way out of it. So rather, we think
it's, in the words of Kent Brockman, "A chilling vision of
things to come."
| Sequence
at the end of the Ep1 IC: click
to view larger picture |
Probst: "Foa Foa, I got nothing for ya, except a date with
me tonight at Tribal Council..." |
Probst: "...where one of you..." |
Probst: "...will be..." |
Probst: "...the first person voted out of this game." |
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