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| SPOILERS and Speculation (Semi-chronological) |
| Source |
| Jeff
Probst press
tele-conference, as transcribed by Mayan
Sun (SurvivorFever) |
January 30, 2006: Excerpts from the seasonal
pre-Ep1 teleconference with Jeff Probst, as transcribed
by MayanSun (SurvivorFever.net) and posted at Sucks (for
a full transcript, click here):
- Jeff Probst: "If you watched the
show you know that you're going to have to make fire and
you probably know that you're going to get this thing called
flint. You need to understand how it works. What a flint
is, which side is what and what is this stuff you shave.
I'm AMAZED at how many people come out and see a flint and
think it's like a garage door opener. You shake it or something
and it's going to ignite. So, once again,
fire is an issue. Once again, it helps some people and really hurts some others."
- "You see it in
the first or second episode that there's a moral dilemma
already for somebody who gets offered alliances from two
different groups. And
they find their self sitting in the catbird seat but ethically
they're already conflicted because they don't want to betray
anybody. The quote that the person gives is, 'It's really
challenging for me ethically right now but it's the best
position to be in.'"
- "The big key this season to the game is, or the big change
to the game is that, every episode, somebody is going to
have to go to Exile Island. It starts
wreaking havoc midway through. It becomes very hard on people. But the silver lining
is, buried somewhere on the island is an immunity idol. In
addition, this immunity idol can be
played after the vote. That changed the game dramatically. Because,
you can't sucker me now. If I have the idol and you try to
sucker me, I'm safe and whoever has the next number of votes
is going home. So you better be careful about how you vote.
You better think twice. And if I'm smart, and I've been on
Exile Island, I'm going to lead you to believe I've found
it."
- "They get introduced to Exile Island about 30
seconds into the show. It's just what you said.
Suddenly you see everybody's wheels stop and start to reconnoiter.
'Uh oh, I didn't anticipate this.'
... They know that anytime somebody has been to Exile Island,
that means the idol could have been
found, it means it could have been traded with somebody. You don't know. Maybe I'm
telling you I have it and I don't. Maybe I'm not telling
you I have it and I do. At one point somebody said to me
at Tribal, 'you know, we think this has just changed
the game too much.' I cracked up. That's definitely
a sign that it's working."
- "So, we put them in four tribes to bond them then we
change them in episode two to
see if the bonds would stick. And I think it's pretty interesting
because there is a label about being the 'older women' and
the 'younger guys' and 'younger women' and the 'older
guys'. And that tends to stick. Suddenly
it's okay that four older guys are going to stay together
no matter what. And then they get split up, now
what do you do?"
|
| Source |
| TV Guide Channel
preview |
January 22, 2006: Minor structural revelations
in production comments during the TV Guide Channel's "Survivor:
Panama - Exile Island Preview" show. See also footage
of future challenges (click here):
- Jeff Probst: "The flipside to Exile Island is
that, hidden somewhere out there is an Immunity Idol.
And if you find it, you're safe for the vote. So what
that means is, I could come into Tribal Council, have
the immunity idol, and not say anything. And if you
guys surprise me, and vote me out, I hold it up and
say, 'Sorry. Not this time.' And then, I'm immune,
and whoever got the most votes after that, they're
gone."
-
John
Kirhoffer - Challenge Producer: "You will see
plenty of water challenges this season. Uh, after last
season - being in Guatemala was great, Guatemala was beautiful
- but we all got just starved for water."
|
January 12, 2006: Wickchix unloads a bevy
of new spoilers:
"- Aras is final 2 and favored
to win.
- Im still getting a young girl
final 2 with aras.(most
likely danielle) I know chill says blond girl to make
final 3, but this person said her pics dont look like
her at the end.
- It is the person known as the
PILOT as final 3 (i think
like everyone, this is being confused with the astronaut...
it even confused me!)
- This pilot does extremely well in challenges
- There is only one immunity idol on exile island. from
what i understand only for the nine left (but this was
scetchy to me) And the pilot finds
it.
- The thing with Bruce is he has a family history with
aorta problems, and at the time they were not sure what
his problem is, so 'they' take him out. He
makes jury, and in RL time he was taken out Thanksgiving
day, so
whatever timeline that is in the game will tell you were
he placed.
- First boot is a girl
- One tribe doesnt eat for 10 days
- One tribe doesnt eat for 12 days
- One tribe,(but could be one of the above) win a HUGE
feast and they get sick.
- Aras gets cut on the last day of filming and gets stitches." |
January
9, 2006: CBS reveals a few secrets in what they
tell the press...
CBS press release: "SURVIVOR: PANAMA
-- EXILE ISLAND, hosted by Jeff Probst, will find the 16
new castaways initially divided into four tribes of four
-- Older Men vs. Older Woman vs. Younger Men vs. Younger
Women (the four tribes will become two
during a schoolyard pick in the second episode). During the duration of SURVIVOR:
PANAMA -- EXILE ISLAND, at least one castaway each episode
will be banished to a separate island miles away from camp.
While being separated from the tribe is not desirable, the
castaways will learn that there is a hidden Immunity Idol
somewhere on Exile Island. If found, this Immunity Idol could
save an individual from being voted out at a future Tribal
Council.
In the premiere episode, the four tribes
will compete in a Reward Challenge where the losing tribe
must decide which one of their tribe members will stay behind
on Exile Island. This individual will be forced to fend for themselves until
the next Immunity Challenge, but they will also have the first opportunity to
locate the whereabouts of the Hidden Immunity Idol."
|
January 9, 2006: Official unveiling of
the Survivor: Panama - Exile Island cast, on the Early
Show. Conveniently aired during the first hour, which half
of CBS's affiliates don't even show. Way to go, CBS!
Still, some people saw it. Thanks to VolcanicGlass for
the vidcaps. And to the CBS
site, for providing images easy to steal. And a lo-res
version of the video. Here's what they look like:

|
January 8, 2006: While
we can't tell you much about the people we couldn't positively
identify, we can give you an idea of the first names and
initial tribes of the upcoming cast:
| Tribe 1: Younger women |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Courtney,
Mid-20s
"Rasta chick" |
Danielle
Kling, Mid-20s
Finance |
Misty Giles,
24
Model/ engineer |
Sally, 20s?
|
| Tribe
2: Younger men |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Aras Baskauskas,
24
Yoga instructor |
Austin Carty,
24
Model/ actor |
Bobby, 20s? |
Nick, 20s? |
We've heard Bobby is African-American, but that's all we
know about him or Nick.
| Tribe
3: Older women |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Cirie Fields,
35
Nurse |
Melinda Hyder,
31?
Realtor/ singer |
Ruth Marie,
>20s? |
Tina Scheer,
45
Lumberjill |
We're not positive about the spelling of Sorie's name, although
she is the African-American nurse mentioned by ChillOne.
And we have no information at all about Melinda or Ruth Marie.
| Tribe
4: Older men |
 |
 |
 |
 |
| Bruce, >30s? |
Dan Barry,
52
Former astronaut |
Shane, Late
30s
Club promoter? |
Terry Deitz,
47
Pilot, ex-Navy |
And that is all we know. |
January 3, 2006: Longtime poster MediaScribe has
news about CBS's plans to announce the cast, posted at
ForumsNet:
"CBS has just
sent me the following regarding the official cast announcement...
'It is looking like the announcement will be made
on Monday January 9th on the Early Show. Will confirm
shortly.'"
(Note: MayanSun (SurvivorFever.net) later confirmed the date at Survivor Sucks). |
December 28, 2005: As pointed out by Sucks
poster King Domino, OLN airs a Survivor:
Exile Island ad during its S5 reruns (click here or
the the picture below for vidcaps). Amid the many recycled
images from the S11 finale preview and the Survivor:
Pearl Islands opening credits, two key pieces of info:
- There will be four
tribes initially: Men vs. women, and old vs. young (see
also December 12 spoilers, below)
- The series will premiere on CBS on Thursday, February
2, 2006. |
December 18-19, 2005: Further updates
from Wickchix at Sucks:
- 12/18: "From what i understand they have major food
issues and they pretty much starve for
the first 12 days.
When the finally get food, alot of them get sick. I guess
this guy gets really shit packed (literally) and has to get
out of the game. A woman does too, but she stays."
- 12/19: "As for the beginning, i was told that they will
have to endure another 2 day hike to thier camp. (been there
done that) Im assuming that they are not given any kind of
food in the beginning (which leads to thier 12 days of starving.)
As
for the exile twist... the tribes can send someone to the
island, however there is an immunity idol to be found with
the same rules as before. (again... been there done that)
CHILL
- the final 2 is just what was told to me... a YOUNG man
and woman, with the astronaut being final 3. The man to win
by a long shot because of something the woman does or how
she behaves. I guess she is not well liked." |
December 18, 2005: Vanuatu-spoiling poster
Wickchix checks in with some slight wrinkles
on somewhat familiar stories:
"A guy named bruce who is
taken out of the game due to his bowel problems. Or the
guy who had to get stitches.
Now
i heard that the final two where a
male and female with the male favored to win by
a long shot. I heard the astronaut
was final 3." |
December 14, 2005: A potentially spoiler-laden
further update from ChillOne:
"The Final 4 of S12 (based on intel):
Final 2: Military guy
Final 2: Tall, skinny guy
3rd Place: Danielle (feuding with Military guy)
4th Place: Black girl (nurse)." |
December 13, 2005: Another update from ChillOne:
"New/updated intel... below (includes one of the Final
9 survivors I was missing):
- 1) Military guy ... wins something like
seven immunity challenges in a row). He wins the family reward
challenge. Probable Final 4 candidate. Final 2 based on his
immunity challenge dominance?
- 2) Black Girl ... See F4 vote dynamics
intel below.
...
- 4) Blonde girl ... Possible Final 4 candidate.
Name: Danielle? Also See F4 vote dynamics intel below.
...
- 8) A tall, skinny guy ... Possible Final
4 candidate. (Note: Obviously, this guy may not have been
skinny at the start of the game)
[F4 vote dynamics:] I'm told that at
the Final 4 Tribal Council, there is a voting stalemate;
2-2. To settle this, the 2 square off (Black
girl vs. Blonde girl?) in that TC fire building challenge
we've seen before -- first to have their fire burn
through the string, wins. Loser walks." |
December 12, 2005: A couple of potential
spoilers about tribal makeup:
- ChillOne posts
at Sucks: "... one of my sources 'thought' that there
might have been a 4th tribe, but could not confirm it (as
with the other 3 tribes). And, he also 'thought' that one
tribe was all women, one tribe was all men ... but could
not confirm that either. So, I did not post it.
But, now that we know there are 16 players,
it sounds like we will have 4 tribes of 4. And, it is highly
probably that we wil see one tribe of four men. Another tribe
of four women. Then other two, not sure."
- We're not sure on the timing of who had this first, but
around the same time, SurvivorFever also
received a tip that claims there will be "4 tribes of
4 players each" at the start. |
December 11, 2005: Jeff Probst describes
the S12 series, during the Survivor: Guatemala finale
and reunion show:
"Next season, Survivor travels to a stunning location,
with an all-new twist. In the exotic waters of Panama sits
a tiny island of exile, that will play into the game like
never before. Each week, at least one castaway will be banished
to this desolate place, separated from their tribemates for
days at a time, in one of the most unforgiving environments
yet. Strategy will be turned on its head. And survival will
take on a whole new meaning. And though this island will
be a place to be feared, something hidden within its rocky
shores may be the key to one million dollars, and the title
of Sole Survivor. The sixteen new castaways will be divided
into tribes in a way never before seen. Who will outwit,
outplay, and outlast all the others? Join us as the adventure
continues with Survivor: Panama - Exile
Island."
|
December 5, 2005: A consolidated spoiler
post from ChillOne:
"To begin, infomation points to a 3-tribe scenario at
the beginning of the game. For many, that comes as good news.
Additionally, the production will include the somewhat frequent
use of a "penalty island". How it is used in the
context of the game, I'm not sure. But, contestants are punished/banished
to this island and isolated for a night due to some event
in the game. Most likely, it's related to the challenges.
OK, now to the peeps. I know the descriptions of seven contestants;
those that probably are in the Final 9 of S12 (based on intel).
They are -- with game details associated with each:
- 1) Military guy ... with Air Force roots
and possibly even an astronaut. His name is Barry (or Jerry).
Might be the leader and most in control. The intel is that
this guy is really kicking ass in the challenges. He wins
the family reward challenge. Possible Final 4 candidate.
- 2) Black Girl ... a nurse. Awarded a family
visit from Military guy (see's her husband). Possibly Final
4 candidate.
- 3) A very small man ... Awarded a family
visit from Military guy (see's his son). Possibly Final 4
candidate.
- 4) Blonde girl ... does not get along
with Air Force guy. When all are spending time with their
families, she is sent to "penalty island". Does
not get to see her mom. Possible Final 4 candidate.
- 5) Another blonde girl (noticible highlights
in her hair). Voted off right before the family reward episode.
Possible jury member. 7th place?
- 6) Asian guy ... sent to "penalty
island" early in the game. Comes back to help his team
win the next challenge. Possible jury member. 6th, 8th or
9th place?
- 7) Caucasian Girl w/ blonde rasta-style hair ...
Possible jury member. 6th, 8th, or 9th place?
Well, that's it for now. I know there are 2 people missing
from the Final 9 equation. But, as of now, we should have
enough to chew on to make for fun conversation and debate
(especially when mixed with other S12 spoilers). As I hear
more, I will post. And, when the contestants are officially
revealed, it should make for even more fun matching them
up with this intel."
|
December 5, 2005: Another game-related
spoiler from ChillOne:
"I think you'll end up being happy" (in response
to SurvivorSurvivorSurvivor's hope for "three
tribes of six.")
|
November 28, 2005: ChillOne adds
both contestant info and some late-game spoilers at Sucks:
"The african american girl, military
guy, rasta chick, and asian
dude go deep into the game."
Note that this post was made on Day 29 of filming (approximately
Ep11, with seven players remaining). He followed this up
with the following details:
- On November
29: "... and the military guy dominates the
challenges."
- On December
1: "The rasta chick is a blonde ... not sure of
her ethnicity."
- On December
5: "Military guy has Air Force roots ... rumored
to be an astronaut! Named Barry or Jerry."
|
September 3, 2005: Wezzie posts a lengthy
local Panama story at
Sucks about Survivor 12 filming (excerpted below):
- "...Once again the 354-room Hotel Contadora Resort
on Contadora Island is serving as the command center for
the upcoming $275 million production of this mega-hit television
show."
- "The security around the Hotel Contadora is significant.
Most of Playa Larga, the largest beach on the island, has
been roped off. Only the 350 crew members staying in the
hotel and the locals with an official ID are allowed to enter."
- "The security in the waters around Contadora Island
is even more formidable. Several dozen Panamanian soldiers
in boats are patrolling the area between Contadora Island
and the islands of Chapera and Mogo Mogo where most of the
filming will take place. If curiosity seekers get too close
to either of these islands, they will be immediately intercepted
and told to leave."
- "Until the filming stops and all the clean-up work
is completed in mid-December, the island will lack some of
its tranquillo ambiance. The locals do not seem to mind at
all. The business generated by Survivor is enormous."
- "Small boat owners and local guides also busily shuttle
crewman back and forth from Hotel Contadora to Mogo Mogo
and Chapera to prepare the sites for the 18 new Survivor contestants,
each of whom hopes to leave the Pearl Islands with a million
dollars in prize money."
|
| Source |
| Griffe at
Survivor Sucks |
September 3, 2005: Veteran spoiler Griffe adds
a third affirmation for Panama at Sucks:
"Survivor crew is scheduled to arrive on September 15th
on this beautiful island. Unless they are going there for
vacation, it seems that Panama is it for S12..." |
| Source |
| Wezzie at
Survivor Sucks |
July 26, 2005: Dan Bollinger and Wezzie report
in with similar location news at Sucks:
"I don't know if this is connected, but after ChillOne
posted his speculations about Panama last week, Dan
and I did some investigating. SEG is returning to Panama
in August. Scouting? Filming? Mola shopping? Time
will tell." |
July 26, 2005: Veteran spoiler ChillOne posts
the following on his blog:
"Anyway, if the rumors do prove true, look for
Survivor 12 (Spring '06) to return, once again, to Panama
and the Pearl Islands. Being that Survivor 11 is
currently in production in Guatemala, this would be a very
practical logistic move for SEG. Plus, location would not
play such an important role in a "celebrity" Survivor.
My guess would be for a quick production turn-around to reduce
costs; with S12 filming possibly kicking-off as early as
August '05! Of course, this is all speculation.
We'll see how this all plays out this Fall. Stay tuned..." |
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