Survivor: Guatemala boxscores
Survivor: Guatemala boxscores - Episode 6
"Big Ball, Big Mouth, Big Trouble"
By Jeff Pitman | Published: August 16, 2015

Filmed: July 11, 2005 ||  Aired: October 20, 2005 || Re-watched: August 16, 2015
Nakum (Judd) wins reward
Rafe (also Judd) wins IC
Margaret and Brian out


  • Ep6 Reward challenge: "Boulder Smash" - Nakúm (pretty much just Judd) wins, 3-2.
  • Ep6 Individual immunity challenge: "Sudden Death" - Just Nakúm competes, and Rafe "wins."
  • Voted out of Nakúm: Margaret, 6-1 over Judd.
  • Voted out of Yaxhá: Brian, 5-1 over Bobby Jon.


Episode 6 scoring notes

Notes: This episode should better have been called "Magical Rafe," since he somehow conjured not one, but two challenge wins out of almost zero effort. He did not participate at all in the RC, but thanks to Nakúm winning all three heats in which Judd steamrolled the opposition, Rafe was eligible to compete in the individual IC. Where, thanks again to Judd, Rafe essentially had the answer staring him in the face, but it took Judd looking over at his tiles and *telling* him the answer *several times* before he realized the correct tile order and "won" the necklace.


Then Rafe was given the added bonus of attending Yaxhá's Tribal Council, and awarding individual immunity to someone (without their knowledge, prior to the vote), after hearing the Tribal Council proceedings. To their credit, the ex-Nakúms at New Yaxhá put on quite a performance, heaping praise on Brian and Amy, the two people they were actually considering booting. Rafe seemingly fell for this ruse, promptly wasting his immunity vote on Gary. Or maybe Rafe just voted for Gary because of the many meals of termites and ants they had shared. Who knows? Either way, Rafe received about 50% of the screen time in this episode, despite being at best peripherally involved in what was going on. Survivor: Guatemala, ladies and gentlemen.


Perhaps we're just bitter that we misremembered Brian's explanation of how voting for Bobby Jon could have worked (which actually aired on The Early Show the next day) as having been in the episode itself. Because it should have been there. It was the birth of the vote split: a planned 3-2-1 split, with the Yaxhá three voting Bobby Jon, while tricking the Nakúms into splitting their votes between Brian and Amy. Notably, Brian couldn't get any traction for this plan, mainly because Gary wanted to keep Bobby Jon, and also because Gary is perfectly okay with telling lies, but only if it's about not having been an NFL quarterback. All other lies are verboten.


So that split never came to pass, and instead Cirie wrangled the first successful version of this during the next season, in Panama. Still, just going through the motions and fleshing out Brian's scheme with actual screen time might have created more mystery at Tribal Council than the several minutes spent wondering whether Judd simply misremembered how many beers he'd consumed, or whether some other freakin' scumbag drank Judd's damn beer, man.


Maybe the editors felt they had enough to work with, what with Magical Rafe's magical Gary vote coming in at the end to save the day. Why distract from that?


Vote count: Nakúm Tribal Council

- Margaret received 6 votes, from Stephenie, Rafe, Lydia, Cindy, Judd, and Jamie (voted out, 6-1).

- Judd received 1 vote, from Margaret.

Vote count: Yaxhá Tribal Council

- Brian received 5 votes, from Danni, Gary, Bobby Jon, Brandon, and Amy (voted out, 5-1).

- Bobby Jon received 1 vote, from Brian.

- Gary received (sealed in an envelope, read after the vote) immunity from Rafe, which was moot.

Episode 6 boxscore
Reward Challenge Immunity Challenge Tribal council stats
Contestant ChW ChA ChW ChA VFB VAP TotV TCA SurvSc SurvAv
Bobby Jon 0.00 0.17 - - 1 1 6 1 1.67 6.50
Brandon 0.00 0.17 - - 1 - 6 1 1.35 5.56
Danni 0.00 0.17 - - 1 - 6 1 1.68 7.90
Amy 0.00 0.17 - - 1 - 6 1 1.30 7.40
Brian 0.00 0.17 - - 0 5 6 1 0.99 2.31
Gary 0.00 0.17 - - 1 - 6 1 1.30 7.40
Cindy 0.17 0.17 0 1 1 - 7 1 1.06 5.59
Judd 0.17 0.17 0 1 1 1 7 1 1.38 6.52
Margaret 0.17 0.17 0 1 0 6 7 1 0.63 1.77
Jamie 0.17 0.17 0 1 1 - 7 1 1.18 7.42
Lydia - 0.17 0 1 1 - 7 1 1.07 3.37
Rafe 0.17 0.17 1 1 1 - 7 1 1.61 8.42
Stephenie 0.17 0.17 0 1 1 - 7 1 1.18 7.42
Blake - - - - - - - - 1.12 2.45
Brooke - - - - - - - - 1.06 2.17
Brianna - - - - - - - - 0.45 1.38
Morgan - - - - - - - - -0.65 0.11
Jim - - - - - - - - -0.39 0.11
Glossary of terms
  • Challenge stats
    • ChW: Challenge Wins. For tribal challenges, a contestant earns a fraction of 1 win, depending on if they participated (no points for sitting out). So in a five-person tribe's win, each participant gets (1/5) of a point, or 0.2 points. Duels (or individual RCs as in Ep1) at Redemption Island count as half a challenge (and half a win). Individual challenge wins count as a full point.
    • ChA: Challenge Appearances. Used to calculate ChW%. Fractional for tribal challenges (same as ChW), except sit-outs get charged for an appearance, because they could have participated.
    • ChW%: Challenge Win%. Simply, ChW% = ChW / ChA.
    • SO: The number of times a contestant sat out of a challenge.
    • Plc: Place finished in an individual challenge
    • %Fin: Percent finish - roughly, percent of a win achieved, with 1 being 100%.
    • MPF: Mean % finish - mean of all % finishes in individual challenges.
  • Tribal Council stats
    • VFB: Votes For Bootee. The number of times the contestant has voted for the person who was ultimately voted out. Applies only to initial votes (no points for revotes in case of a tie). Special case: In a final three TC, where only one vote is cast (by the F3 IC winner), only that vote counts.
    • VAP: Votes Against the Player. The total number of tribal council votes cast against the contestant. Again, only initial votes count (no penalty for revotes), and here a hidden immunity idol (if played) erases the votes. In the special case of a final three tribal council above, only the F3 bootee receives a vote against.
    • TotV: Total votes cast during the tribal councils the player has attended (again, only initial votes count). Used to adjust for different vote totals as tribes shrink.
    • TCA: Tribal council appearances. The number of times a contestant has attended tribal council (at which they voted).
    • TC%: Tribal Council percent. Attempts to reward voting for the bootee (which players controlling the vote almost always do), while punishing receiving votes yourself. The formula is: TC% = [VFB - (VAP/TotV)] / TCA.
    • wTCR: weighted Tribal Council Ratio. Very similar in intent to TC%, but calculated as a ratio of VFB to VAP, while also scaling to a uniform number of TC appearances. The formula is as follows: wTCR =2* [VFB / (4+VAP)] x (14/TCA). I originally tried (1+VAP) to avoid dividing by zero, but this overly rewarded getting zero votes against relative to just one vote against, which seemed silly. (4+VAP) scaled that effect back comfortably. 14 was used as the scaling factor for TC appearances because there are usually 14 episodes, then a final scaling factor of 2 to bring maximal scores up to roughly even with ChW and JV% high scores.
  • Jury stats
    • JVF: Number of jury votes for the contestant to win. Maximum nine (Earl Cole, Fiji), theoretically.
    • TotJ: Total number of jurors. Necessary to not punish unanimous 7-juror winners (JT Thomas, Tocantins).
    • JV%: The percent of total jury votes cast for the contestant, or Jur% = JVF/ TotJ. This number is used, raw, in SurvSc, and is scaled in SurvAv (multiplied by six) to make it similar in size to ChW and wTCR.
  • Overall scores
    • Survival Score (SurvSc). It's simply the sum of Challenge Win% (ChW%) + Tribal Council% (TC%) + Jury Vote%, for a maximum possible score of 2 (3 after the finale).
    • Survival Average (SurvAv). It's a simple sum of fractional Challenge Wins (ChW), weighted TC Ratio (wTCR), and (eventually) a weighted Jury%. The latter two max out at six points total, for a theoretical maximum score of around 18 or so.