Completing the fake ship theme, the losing tribe will attend tribal council... in another fake ship (at right). Proving the ancient adage, "If you're going to whip up some cheap controversy with a tacky casting stunt, you'd better have a lot of fake ships on hand." (We believe that was originally from Shakespeare).

So anyway, the boot.... Who will it be? With 20 contestants, can they afford the luxury of a single boot? We'll go with Darnell1980's advice: one boot, from the Manihiki tribe.

Beyond that, we have no idea who it could be. We don't think it's Nate or Sundra, but any of the remaining tribemembers could go. Sekou is at a 3-2 disadvantage if the tribe splits along gender lines, does not appear to be as strapping as Nate, and is the eldest person on his tribe. He's also the person Darnell1980 has selected as the most likely first boot. But Sekou was also selected by Jeff Probst as a potential leader. We don't think it's Sekou yet, but we could be wrong.

But we've also heard that it could be Rebecca. She seems the least likely woman to contribute physically, and our source suggests she helps lose the first challenge for Manihiki. The only other choice is Stephannie, who we also don't think gets very far. But we'll go with Rebecca for the initial departure.